By seestyle at 2022-08-21
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Another week, another article listing theJets are the most popular team to pick against in survivor pools. Last week it was the Dolphins who were picked by nearly half the public; this week its the Bills, who will face the Jets for the second time this season. Are they the best Week 7 pick for your NFL survivor pool, or is there another team that makes more sense for you? The experts from TeamRankings are here to help you decide by breaking down all the key numbers.As we do every week, let's dive in and analyze the five most popular survivor pool picks of NFL Week 7 using the "Holy Trinity" of survivor pick strategy data: Win odds, pick popularity, future value.MORE TEAMRANKINGS:This analysis is brought to you by TeamRankings, the only site that provides customized picks that maximize your edge in football pools. Check out their , , and .GET PICKS NOW: FREE trial of Pick 'em, Betting, and Survivor picks from TeamRankings Week 7NFL Survivor Pool Advice: Tips, strategy for picks To be clear, we are not saying that the first team listed below, Buffalo, is the Mike Quick Jersey best Week 7 survivor pick for your specific pool(s). We're telling you that the Bills are the most popular Week 7pick in survivor pools nationwide. We then break down the major pros and cons of potentially picking themand the next more most popular teams.To get our specific Week 7 survivor pick recommendations, check out our . Using the unique My Pool Picks feature, you first tell us some details about your pool(s) and the teams you've picked so far, and the product shows you the best Week 7 picks for all of your survivor pool entries.Note: Data referenced below was current as of Wednesday, and could change between posting time and kickoff time. Our product updates multiple times per day with the latest information. Buffalo Bills (at New York Jets)Survivor Pick Popularity: 50% (most popular pick)Point Spread: -13.5The Bills draw the Jets for the second time this year. Buffalo was the first to start off against the dysfunctional Jets in Week 1 at home, and New York has only played worse since that game.Sam Darnolds status for this game hadnt been confirmed yet at post time, and his final status could impact Buffalos win odds, at least slightly. The Jets have scored only 10 total points in the Brian Dawkins Jersey two games started by Joe Flacco so far, versus 16 points per game with Darnold at QB.Its understandable that Buffalo is the most popular choice this week, as they are the largest favoriteand New York looked like the worst team in the league even before Darnold was out. Plus, Buffalos schedule gets significantly tougher after this week. We only project the Bills with above 60-percentwin odds in two other weeks, and one of those is the final week of the season, which is prone to uncertainty due to potentially resting starters.Usually a team with Buffalos sky-high pick popularity is a prime fade opportunity, but thats not the obvious route this week given their profile. The Bills are worth consideration in some types of pools, but in some non-standard formats that are more forgiving (e.g. strike pools), you probably will Philadelphia Eagles Hats get better expected value if you look elsewhere and hope for a big upset in this game.Los Angeles Chargers (vs. Jacksonville)Survivor Pick Popularity: 13%Point Spread: -7.5The Chargers come off their bye week and get Jacksonville at home. The Jaguars, who started the season with an upset win over the Colts and then took the Titans down to the wire in Week 2, have since reverted to expected form, allowing 30-pluspoints in five straight games.Los Angeles, meanwhile, has come up just short against good competition recently with narrow lo ses to Kansas City, Tampa Bay, and New Orleans. With an improving schedule, the Chargers are a viable choice here depending on your pool format. They are a tier below the Bills as a choice when it comes to safety, but thats offset to some degree because of the much lower pick popularity.In addition, their future value is limited, though they do get the Jets later in the year. (Of course, they could be extremely popular the week that they do get the Jets.)New Orleans Saints (vs. Carolina)Survivor Pick Popularity: 12%Point Brett Toth Jersey Spread: -7.5The Saints are another team coming off a bye week with asurvivor-relevant matchup. Star WR Michael Thomas should be back, and while Carolina has been playing better, it's coming off a home lo s to Chicago.The Saints are in the same tier of safety as the Chargersand have similar popularity as Los Angeles, as well, so they are roughly similar in expected value this week. As far as future value, the Saints do not have any clear cut future weeks where they project as a great survivor pick, but they should be favored in most weeks going forward.As a result, any shifts in opponent quality (e.g. on account of injuries) could make them a viable play at some point during the second half of the season.Kansas City Chiefs (at Denver Broncos)Survivor Pick Popularity: 11%Point Spread: -10Playing at Denver, theChiefs are the second largest favorite of the week behind Buffalo. KC has roughly the same pick popularity as the Chargers and Saintswith slightly higher win odds.Of course, that immediate value is countered by Kansas City having great future value. The Chiefs are just a week away from playing the Jets at home, when they will be the largest favorite so far this year and could have win odds over 90 percent. They then get Carolina in Week 9 at homeand should be a large favorite that week, as well.So, if youve made it this far, there might be Rodney McLeod Jersey even more value in holding Kansas City if you have other reasonable options this week.Philadelphia Eagles (vs. New York Giants)Survivor Pick Popularity: 5%Point Spread: -4.5The Eagles are the fifth-most popular survivor pick of Week 7playing in the Thursday Night game. They will be without RB Miles Sanders (knee) an d TE Zach Ertz (ankle) and are a tier below the Chargers/Saints in safety this week.The reason the Eagles could be an attractive survivor pick is that they have basically no future value. Next week they play Dallas at home, but that game features our highest projected win odds for Philadelphia before Week 17 (in which they likely still wont be a big favorite).So, the argument for using Philadelphia depends on just how risky you want to get to save future value and avoid Buffalo this week. Theres a 20-percentsafety drop-off, though, between the most popular choice of Buffalo and taking the Eagles, so unle s you havea portfolio of entries to spread out acro s several teams, it would be a big risk.Football Pic